DAP senator Chin Tong said they were forming Pakatan Plus (PH +), a coalition of DAP political parties, PKR, PAN and several PPBM members who supported Dr Mahathir.
This Pakatan Plus coalition is supposed to form the government when the PN government collapses.
They (Pakatan Plus) wants to form the government by way of MPs switching parties and not through elections.
In the last GE-14 DAP has won in all 37 Chinese and 5 mixed areas.
In every election in the last 20 years, the DAP has successfully increased its parliamentary seats from 10 seats (GE-10 in 1999), to 12 seats (GE-11 2004), to 28 seats (GE-12 2008), to 38 seats (GE-13 2013) and 42 seats (GE-14 2018).
Their strategy is simple:
FIRST, strengthen their influence on Chinese voters by sowing hatred and racism against the Barisan Nasional, Umno and the Malays.
During the GE-14, more than 95 percent or almost all Chinese voters voted for PH / DAP.
SECOND, using a handful of Malays to draw some support from the Malays, as well as to incite fighting among Malays (aim to divide the Malays.)
With a small number of party members (estimated to have only 100-200 thousand members), this strategy succeeded, and with Mahathir’s help they finally formed the government in 2018.
PH won in GE-14 due to Mahathir. This is because, Mahathir has attracted 25% Malay support, while 75% more Malay support has been split in two between UMNO and PAS.
And by that time Chinese voters’ support for them had increased by 95%.
But now UMNO and PAS have joined the Muafakat Nasional and the political situation has changed; the majority of Malays were united with the consolidation of the UMNO and PAS.
With the consolidation of the Malays, the PH will have difficulty to seize power and DAP into the government through elections.
They (DAP) to know if the elections are held, the Malays will not support the PH and they can not form a government only with the support of Chinese voters.
In other situation.
The DAP and PH are now in a state of dilemma about who they will adopt as the 9th Prime Minister’s candidate especially if Parliament is dissolved and the 15th General Assembly held.
If they took Mahathir again as a candidate for prime minister, Mahathir may break and draw some support Malays.
But the support of the Malays against Mahathir now has deteriorated badly and, it’s not like it used to.
The Malays see Mahathir is now ridden by DAP.
To change the perception of the Malays against him, three months ago in an audio recording purportedly Mahathir said he did not like DAP.
But his actions prove otherwise.
During the “Langkah Sheraton” four months ago, Mahathir should have been the 8th Prime Minister after resigning as the 7th Prime Minister.
But his plan failed, as UMNO rejected it because Mahathir was stubborn to bring DAP into the new government.
Mahathir still does not want to leave PH and DAP.
But even if he is still with DAP, the Chinese voters no longer look up to Mahathir after GE14, especially after Congress Malay Dignity organized by him.
This is reflected in the devastating defeat of the PH and PPBM under Mahathir, in the Tanjung Piai by-election last year. Where only 40 per cent Chinese and 5 percent Malay voters voted PH, fell heavily compared to 80 per cent Chinese and 25 per cent Malays who voted for them in the GE-14.
Therefore, if the DAP lifted him again as PM candidate in the 15th general election, most likely there will be no Malay votes.
If this happens, PH will lose many seats in the coming GE-15.
Seats won by PPBM like in Muar, Simpang Renggam and Sri Gading is due to the votes of the Chinese voters, and more than half of the seats PAN and many seats the party that has won is caused due to the split of the Malay votes between UMNO, PAS and PH on GE-14.
It is very likely that this place will change hands if elections are held with Mahathir as the Prime Minister’s candidate for PH this time.
Apart from Mahathir resigning and causing the PH government to collapse, Khalid Samad was among the main reasons for overthrowing the PH government earlier, as he was too much forcing Mahathir to resign.
In other direction.
But if they (PH / DAP) appoint Anwar to become a candidate for PM-9 in the GE-15, Anwar will still be able to retain the support of the Chinese voters to PH, but he will not be able to attract the support of the Malays.
Without Mahathir, Anwar had tried four times since 1999 to bring Pakatan to win the general election and form the previous government, but to no avail.
This is because the Malays does not support Anwar, period.
PH certainly know they can not expect Anwar to attract Malay support to win elections and then form a government.
In more interesting situation to be considered.
Anwar and Mahathir are now both liable to PH and DAP.
That is why until now despite PH’s ambition to restructure the government, they still cannot declare who the prime minister is.
The internal state of PH is now very much in disarray with the split in PKR by Anwar and the internal PPBM crisis by Mahathir.
And with PH’s poor performance of 22 months as the government and their manifesto promises not being fulfilled, it is difficult for them to convince the people to vote them again.
The people have seen that they (PH) are just crazy for power, but are not interested and are not able to govern the country.
That’s why PH doesn’t want Parliament to dissolve.
Because they are afraid to face the people in elections.
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